Data-Driven Analysis

The Architecture of Self-Sabotage

How modern defaults in infrastructure, food, media, and social design are structurally optimized against human flourishing — and the data that proves it.

Corey Petty / ~15 min read / Interactive Edition
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Look — I've put off doing this one a little bit. Not because the data is hard to find. It's everywhere. It's because the picture it paints is, frankly, infuriating.

The systems that shape your daily life — how your streets are built, what food is cheapest, which content appears on your screen, where you gather (or don't) — are quietly optimized against you. Against your health, your attention, your relationships, your ability to think clearly. And I don't mean that in some conspiracy-brained way. This is incentive alignment. Corporations profit when you consume more, move less, and engage passively. Governments built infrastructure around cars, not bodies. The food system subsidizes corn syrup, not broccoli.

The result? The path of least resistance leads reliably toward obesity, isolation, cognitive fragmentation, and chronic disease. Doing what's actually good for you requires constant, deliberate swimming upstream.

Cool. But here's the part nobody talks about — the handful of communities that redesigned their defaults are seeing dramatic results. The data is wild. Let me show you.

01

The streets were built for cars, not for living

The most basic form of human exercise — walking from one place to another — has been engineered out of American life. Postwar Euclidean zoning rigidly separated where you live from where you work, shop, and play. When everything is miles apart, driving isn't a choice. It's a requirement.

0
Miles driven per American per year
0
Avg daily steps (US) — 30th of 46 nations
0
% of kids who walk to school (was 48%)
0
% of Americans meeting exercise guidelines

That last number deserves a beat. When you use accelerometers instead of self-reports (ya know, measuring what people actually do instead of what they say they do), only 1 in 20 Americans meets basic physical activity guidelines. One in twenty.

And it's not because Americans are uniquely lazy. It's because the built environment made movement optional, then made it inconvenient, then made it borderline dangerous.

The Collapse of Kids Walking to School
Percentage of US children walking or biking to school
1969
48%
1990
28%
2001
16%
2009
13%

A 2011 PLOS ONE study found that jobs requiring moderate physical activity dropped from 48% in the early 1960s to under 20% by 2008 — a loss of roughly 140 daily calories of energy expenditure. That number almost perfectly predicted the actual weight gain measured by national surveys. We didn't get lazier. Our jobs got sedentary. Our streets got unwalkable. Our neighborhoods got spread out.

What the fuck are we doing, ya know? We literally built an environment where the most natural thing a human body does — walk — became an act of rebellion.

Infrastructure → Obesity (it's not complicated)
Obesity rate vs. dominant transportation mode
🇺🇸 USA (cars)
42.7%
🇬🇧 UK (mixed)
28.7%
🇩🇪 Germany (mixed)
23.6%
🇳🇱 NL (bikes)
14.9%
🇯🇵 Japan (rail/walk)
4.5%
We've created a society where you drive to the parking lot to take the escalator to the treadmill.
Jeff Speck, Walkable City
02

The food system is rigged at every level

If the built environment removed exercise from daily life, the food system simultaneously flooded it with cheap calories engineered to override biological satiety. This wasn't accidental. It's the predictable output of a subsidy structure, a lobbying apparatus, and a food science industry all pulling in the same direction.

Where Your Tax Dollars Go
US Farm Subsidy Allocation (each square = 1%)
Subsidies

In 2024, corn received $3.2 billion in federal subsidies — 30.5% of all farm support. That's the orange squares. Those are your tax dollars making high-fructose corn syrup artificially cheap.

More Subsidies

Add soybeans at $1.9 billion (the blue). Together, these two crops — the raw materials for ultra-processed food — captured nearly half of all farm subsidies.

Meanwhile…

Fruits and vegetables — the stuff the USDA recommends filling half your plate with? That tiny green sliver. Less than 1% of direct subsidy payments. Less than 3% of all US cropland grows vegetables, orchards, or berries. We import two-thirds of our fresh fruit. This annoys the shit out of me.

The subsidy structure makes processed food artificially cheap. Then the food industry engineers it for maximum consumption. Howard Moskowitz — a Harvard-trained psychophysicist — pioneered the "bliss point": the precise ratio of sugar, salt, and fat that maximizes craving. Testing 59 variations of sweetness across 3,000 taste tests for a single product. Lay's "Bet you can't eat just one" wasn't a joke. It was a product specification.

In 2019, NIH researcher Kevin Hall published the first randomized controlled trial that nailed this down. Participants on ultra-processed diets consumed 508 extra calories per day — and gained nearly a kilo in two weeks. Same available calories, same macros. The processing itself was the variable. That's the kind of study that should have changed everything.

0
of American calories from ultra-processed food
0
for children aged 6–11
0
Annual diet-related healthcare costs
0
Industry food marketing spend per year

The food industry spends $14 billion a year on marketing — more than 80% of it promoting products high in fat, sugar, and salt. When the FTC tried to ban TV advertising to children in 1978, the industry lobbied Congress into stripping the FTC of that authority entirely. Let that sink in.

03

Algorithms harvest attention at the cost of thought

The same optimization logic that governs food engineering now governs information. Social media platforms don't sell content to users. They sell users' attention to advertisers. And the algorithmic architecture that maximizes this attention reliably amplifies outrage, fear, and tribal hostility — because these emotions keep people scrolling.

Your Attention Span, Over Time
Average time on a single screen before switching (Gloria Mark, UC Irvine)
2:30
2003
1:15
2012
0:47
Today

From two and a half minutes to forty-seven seconds. That's not a decline. That's a collapse. And this is the median — meaning half the population is worse.

A 2025 PNAS study found that Twitter's algorithm amplified anger: 62% of algorithm-selected political tweets expressed anger, vs. 52% in a chronological feed. Users didn't prefer this. The algorithm overrode their preferences to serve what generated more clicks. Meanwhile, MIT found that false news was 70% more likely to be retweeted than true stories and spread six times faster.

You might be thinking "does this really matter?" Here's the thing — it does, because the institutions that used to counterbalance this are collapsing simultaneously.

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Local newspapers closed since 2005
0
Times per day Americans check phones
0
Daily adult screen time
0
Recovery time after an interruption

Writer Scott Alexander called the endpoint "epistemic learned helplessness" — a state where people, burned so many times by convincing-sounding bullshit, rationally give up on evaluating truth claims altogether and retreat into tribal identity. When the information environment overwhelms individual reasoning capacity, the rational response is to stop reasoning.

Tristan Harris calls it "a race to the bottom of the brain stem." I'd call it the most profitable cognitive disability in human history.

04

Loneliness is a design outcome, not a personal failure

The same infrastructure that eliminated walking and flooded the market with engineered food also dismantled the conditions for human connection. Sociologist Ray Oldenburg identified "third places" — pubs, barbershops, community centers — as essential to social fabric. His assessment of postwar development was blunt: suburbia was designed to protect people from community rather than connect them to it.

1990
3% of Americans reported having no close friends. 33% reported ten or more.
2000
Robert Putnam published Bowling Alone — documenting the collapse of civic institutions. Red Cross volunteerism down 61%. Union membership plummeting.
2014–2019
Time spent with friends dropped from 6.5 hours/week to 4 hours. Then the pandemic made things worse.
2021
12% of Americans reported zero close friends — a 4x increase from 1990. Those with 10+ friends fell from 33% to 13%.
2023
US Surgeon General declared loneliness a public health epidemic. Mortality risk equivalent to smoking 15 cigarettes per day.
2024
17% report no close friends. Only 20% of employees have a best friend at work. Parasocial relationships with influencers increasingly substitute for real human connection.

Here's what gets me — we spend 4.9 hours a day on entertainment apps while time with actual humans keeps shrinking. The "connection" platforms are literally substituting for connection. Parasocial relationships with streamers and influencers are filling the gap that real relationships used to fill. And the research shows these one-sided bonds paradoxically make loneliness worse, not better.

05

Defaults are never neutral — and yours are set against you

Here we go — this is the through-line that ties it all together.

Behavioral economists Thaler and Sunstein demonstrated a foundational principle: the default option wins. When 401(k) enrollment is opt-in, participation is low. Make it opt-out, participation hits 90%. Austria's opt-out organ donation: 99% consent. Germany's opt-in: 12%. The design of the choice, not the preference of the chooser, determines the outcome.

Apply this to daily life and the picture clarifies fast.

The "Default Day" in America
Industries profiting when you follow the path of least resistance
Social Media (Meta alone)
$160B
Fast Food
$413B
Video Games
$224B
Entertainment (global)
$3.5T

The "default day" — drive alone, eat fast food, scroll feeds, stream entertainment — requires zero effort and generates enormous corporate revenue. The healthy alternative — cook from scratch, walk, read deeply, maintain friendships in person — requires active, sustained resistance.

Americans spend over $100 billion annually on diets, gym memberships, and supplements. Within two years of starting a diet, fewer than 5% are still adhering. The failure isn't moral. It's architectural.

Not a single centenarian pursued health. It ensued as a byproduct of where they lived. — Dan Buettner, Blue Zones research

06

The places that redesigned their defaults got different results

Alright — here's the part I care most about. Because if this was just a doom story, I wouldn't have written it. The most powerful evidence that this is structural, not inevitable comes from the communities that changed the architecture. Their results are, frankly, staggering.

🇪🇸 Pontevedra, Spain

Removed cars from city center

0 deaths
Zero pedestrian fatalities since 2011. 70% of trips now on foot. 90% of children walk to school. Gained 12,000 new residents.
🇪🇸 Barcelona Superblocks

Closed streets to through-traffic

667 lives/yr
At full 503-superblock scale: 667 premature deaths prevented annually. 25% NO₂ reduction in pilot neighborhoods.
🇳🇱 Netherlands Cycling

35,000 km of bike paths

38:1 ROI
Prevents 6,500 deaths per year. Adds 0.5 years to national life expectancy. Investment: 0.06% GDP. Return: 3%+ GDP.
🇨🇱 Chile Food Labels

Front-of-package warnings

−23%
Decrease in high-sugar food purchases. 80% consumer awareness. Biggest benefits for low-income households.
🇬🇧 UK Sugar Levy

Tiered tax incentivizing reformulation

−34%
Sugar sold through soft drinks dropped 34.3% — while sales volumes rose 13.5%. Over half of manufacturers reformulated before the levy took effect.
🇺🇸 Blue Zones Project

Environmental redesign, not willpower

−68%
Childhood obesity reduction in Redondo Beach schools. Highest well-being score Gallup ever recorded across 1,500+ communities.

Notice what these all have in common. None of them asked individuals to try harder. They changed the environment so that the healthy choice became the easy choice. The Blue Zones Project approach is the clearest example: restaurants serve fruit as the default side instead of fries. Grocery stores stock checkout aisles with healthy snacks. Diners have to ask for bread instead of getting it automatically.

Norway's school smartphone bans reduced bullying by 43–46% and lowered girls' mental health GP visits by 29%. Phone-free UK schools correlate with students scoring 1–2 grades higher. These aren't dramatic interventions. They're default changes.

The UK sugar levy's largest benefits went to the most deprived children. Chile's food labels helped low-income consumers most. Norway's phone bans produced the greatest gains for low-SES girls. When the default changes, everyone benefits — and those with the least capacity for individual resistance benefit the most. This is the part that should make the "personal responsibility" crowd uncomfortable.

Conclusion

It's the environment, not the effort

The through-line across every domain — movement, food, attention, social connection — is the same. Environments that make healthy behavior the default produce healthy populations without requiring extraordinary discipline. Environments that make unhealthy behavior the default produce sick, isolated, cognitively fragmented populations regardless of how much those individuals spend on self-improvement.

At the individual level, opting out means recognizing the current is against you and building deliberate counter-structures. Choose the walkable neighborhood. Cook with whole ingredients as routine. Impose hard limits on algorithmic media. Invest disproportionately in face-to-face relationships.

But individual resistance is expensive, exhausting, and inequitable — available primarily to the educated and affluent. The deeper lesson from Barcelona, Pontevedra, the Netherlands, Chile, and the Blue Zones is that structural change is both more effective and more equitable than individual change.

The question isn't whether people should eat better, move more, think deeper, and connect with others. Nearly everyone already knows this. The question is who sets the defaults — and in whose interest.

Right now, the answer is unambiguous: the defaults are set by industries whose revenue increases when people consume more, move less, and engage passively. Changing this requires not better willpower but better architecture.

The communities that have done it prove it works. The scale of the crisis demands it everywhere else.

Hit me up if you have thoughts and criticisms. I'm always interested in getting better data or having my methodology challenged — that's how this stuff improves. If this resonated, share it. If it pissed you off, good. That means you're paying attention.

Love y'all, hope it serves you.

Corey Petty

Research assisted by Claude · Data from CDC, PLOS, PNAS, PMC, USAFacts, Gallup, and cited studies